Even by Tom Daschle's exacting standards, Bush's ability to coax
surrender and defection out of the enemy military must go down in history as one of the
proudest moments in American diplomacy. He has turned Clausewitz's famous dictum - that
war is diplomacy by other means - on its head: Diplomacy has become war by other means,
deploying talk as a precision-guided munition.
What, after all, is "psy-ops" but military diplomacy? Convincing the
other side that there is no chance of victory, that surrender is the best option, was
apparently a lot easier than persuading France of the exact opposite - that there was a
good chance of winning and that giving up was the wrong way to go. (The French love
surrender so!)
As this is written (and anything can change in war) the only organized resistance
to the United States armed forces is to be found in peace marches.
In a broader sense (and from the perspective of a life spent in politics), the
military's use of psy-ops to dissuade Iraqi generals from fighting is the third step in a
remarkable accommodation by our fighting men and women to political realities.
In the past, changing military strategy was driven by technology - the
introduction of the machine gun, the tank, the airplane. But now it is adapting rapidly to
political considerations.
In a democracy, the American military has learned that it must not just destroy
enemy soldiers (or talk them into surrender) but has to maintain cohesive domestic support
for our objectives. Mindful that we lost the war in Vietnam not through any defeat on the
battlefield, but by losing the national consensus that impelled our involvement in the
first place, the military has taken a series of steps to build and keep public support for
its efforts.
More than any other factor, it was the massive American death toll - 58,000 U.S.
troops - that drove opposition to the Vietnam War. Then, when even the politicians
realized we must disentangle ourselves from the jungle war, the hundreds of prisoners of
war our bombing campaign had left in North Vietnamese prisons made withdrawal hard to
achieve.
So our politically conscious military came to a conclusion after Vietnam: Don't
incur large American casualties and don't let our soldiers become POWs. Stand-off bombing,
remotely piloted drone aircraft, cruise missiles and a host of other military innovations
made it possible to wage war that cost more in dollars but less in American lives - and
which minimized the chances of our men and women being captured.
From the first Gulf War came the next political imperative: Don't cause large
civilian casualties. As our political standards became more ecumenical and the lives of
enemy civilians a focus of global concern, the far-sighted leaders of the Pentagon
developed better precision-guided munitions, designed to kill the unformed opposition with
pinpoint accuracy, avoiding the death of innocents.
As part of this effort, our military also developed "smart" land mines
which can be turned off once the war ends, no longer threatening the lives of those, often
children, who step on them.
Now, it appears, the defense establishment has made yet another adaptation to the
political environment - learning to wage war without many deaths on either side, military
or civilian.
* By refining psy-ops and bringing to it the intimacy of contact and diplomacy
through e-mail and cell phones, the military has figured out how to induce surrender by a
combination of threats, persuasion and temptation.
* By giving reporters easy access to the front lines of the battle, the military
assures that news of allied success will quickly reach the enemy's generals.
* By using intelligence to generate decapitation strikes, we guarantee that they
will know that war means they are about to meet the 70 virgins waiting for them in the
great beyond.
So in Iraq, we give a war and nobody came.